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Post by bookboy007 on Mar 16, 2024 2:51:58 GMT
The way I look at is since 1985-86 you have a better chance of winning the Cup (79%) if you don’t win the Presidents trophy. Yeah, but it doesn't work that way...you can only start the playoffs from one regular season position - not any of them. So you have to ask yourself, "If a team could hand pick the one position to start a SC run, where is statistically the best place to start?" The answer (historically) is 1st place overall. I think the issue is stats and expectations. Stats say one in 5 Cups is won by the PT team, 2 per decade. Expectation is that if you are the best RS team, you are superior and should beat everyone handily. The fact is that winning four games against the same team is hard even if you have a significantly better RS advantage. And the RS is such a marathon that most teams with great end of season records get there as much because they stayed healthy and avoided slumps more than anything else. We saw last year and in 2019, the team that starts the playoffs is what matters, not what they were doing in November.
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Post by davinator on Mar 16, 2024 3:44:57 GMT
Yeah, but it doesn't work that way...you can only start the playoffs from one regular season position - not any of them. So you have to ask yourself, "If a team could hand pick the one position to start a SC run, where is statistically the best place to start?" The answer (historically) is 1st place overall. I think the issue is stats and expectations. Stats say one in 5 Cups is won by the PT team, 2 per decade. Expectation is that if you are the best RS team, you are superior and should beat everyone handily. The fact is that winning four games against the same team is hard even if you have a significantly better RS advantage. And the RS is such a marathon that most teams with great end of season records get there as much because they stayed healthy and avoided slumps more than anything else. We saw last year and in 2019, the team that starts the playoffs is what matters, not what they were doing in November. Yeah, I agree with re: expectations...I am not expecting the RS winner to win the SC but the historic stats say they have the best chance to win. A great place to start the quest is from the top of the league.
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Post by pletchner on Mar 16, 2024 13:26:56 GMT
True. But that’s getting greedy. And maybe the aisles just soften ‘em up enough for the Bs. B’S and Cheshire Cats won’t meet before second round at least…. Did not mean to count the proverbial chickens, but the thought of a Bs first round loss to the Loafs is something that would make me very, very unhappy, so I pretend it’s not an option.
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Post by 50belowzero on Mar 16, 2024 13:56:10 GMT
B’S and Cheshire Cats won’t meet before second round at least…. Did not mean to count the proverbial chickens, but the thought of a Bs first round loss to the Loafs is something that would make me very, very unhappy, so I pretend it’s not an option. Yep, B's can still win the Atlantic, i say go for it. I don't want any part of that media shitshow.
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Post by thanx4memORRies on Mar 16, 2024 14:15:23 GMT
B’S and Cheshire Cats won’t meet before second round at least…. Did not mean to count the proverbial chickens, but the thought of a Bs first round loss to the Loafs is something that would make me very, very unhappy, so I pretend it’s not an option. More often than not goaltending determines who advances to the next round or not…. Still a lot of time left to decide the last two playoff spots, but I’d rather face the Laffs’ goaltending than, say, Vasilevski or Sorokin…. I’m more than ok with the B’S remaining where they are at the moment but if the unimaginable happens and the B’S get ousted by the Laffs, well, then it’s been a nice life….
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Post by 50belowzero on Mar 16, 2024 14:25:10 GMT
Did not mean to count the proverbial chickens, but the thought of a Bs first round loss to the Loafs is something that would make me very, very unhappy, so I pretend it’s not an option. More often than not goaltending determines who advances to the next round or not…. Still a lot of time left to decide the last two playoff spots, but I’d rather face the Laffs’ goaltending than, say, Vasilevski or Sorokin…. I’m more than ok with the B’S remaining where they are at the moment but if the unimaginable happens and the B’S get ousted by the Laffs, well, then it’s been a nice life…. From what i've been able to gather around the interweb it seems the LeRfs fans would prefer their beloved team get a 1st round matchup with the B's as well, they want no part of the Panthers.
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Post by thanx4memORRies on Mar 16, 2024 14:41:37 GMT
More often than not goaltending determines who advances to the next round or not…. Still a lot of time left to decide the last two playoff spots, but I’d rather face the Laffs’ goaltending than, say, Vasilevski or Sorokin…. I’m more than ok with the B’S remaining where they are at the moment but if the unimaginable happens and the B’S get ousted by the Laffs, well, then it’s been a nice life…. From what i've been able to gather around the interweb it seems the LeRfs fans would prefer their beloved team get a 1st round matchup with the B's as well, they want no part of the Panthers. Fans of the Laffs are known to have short memories….
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Post by 50belowzero on Mar 16, 2024 14:43:59 GMT
From what i've been able to gather around the interweb it seems the LeRfs fans would prefer their beloved team get a 1st round matchup with the B's as well, they want no part of the Panthers. Fans of the Laffs are known to have short memories…. Well their memories are long enough to remember that the Panthers polished them off in 5 games last playoffs, they figure they'll take their chances on a 7 gamer.
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Post by thanx4memORRies on Mar 16, 2024 15:49:34 GMT
Fans of the Laffs are known to have short memories…. Well their memories are long enough to remember that the Panthers polished them off in 5 games last playoffs, they figure they'll take their chances on a 7 gamer. One year isn’t that long ago…. Guess it’s a question of which poison they prefer….
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Post by 50belowzero on Mar 17, 2024 2:28:04 GMT
The B's back in 1st in the Atlantic, with that nail biter win they leapfrog the Panthers by 1 point. The Panthers lost to the Lightning after getting Vagisilskyed, out shoot the Bolts 50-16 but lose 5-3, nice. If Vag is rounding into form look out.
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Post by #4 Bobby Orr! GOAT! on Mar 17, 2024 12:08:26 GMT
The B's back in 1st in the Atlantic, with that nail biter win they leapfrog the Panthers by 1 point. The Panthers lost to the Lightning after getting Vagisilskyed, out shoot the Bolts 50-16 but lose 5-3, nice. If Vag is rounding into form look out. Bob was 11/15 for .733
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Post by thanx4memORRies on Mar 17, 2024 13:03:37 GMT
The B's back in 1st in the Atlantic, with that nail biter win they leapfrog the Panthers by 1 point. The Panthers lost to the Lightning after getting Vagisilskyed, out shoot the Bolts 50-16 but lose 5-3, nice. If Vag is rounding into form look out. Another scenario that’s got an even chance of playing out is the Rangers finishing first in the East and most probably getting either the Isles, Wings, or Flyers as the eighth seed, meaning that the B’S get the Bolts…. I’ll take my chances with the Laffs thank you….
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Post by bookboy007 on Mar 17, 2024 13:30:09 GMT
The B's back in 1st in the Atlantic, with that nail biter win they leapfrog the Panthers by 1 point. The Panthers lost to the Lightning after getting Vagisilskyed, out shoot the Bolts 50-16 but lose 5-3, nice. If Vag is rounding into form look out. Another scenario that’s got an even chance of playing out is the Rangers finishing first in the East and most probably getting either the Isles, Wings, or Flyers as the eighth seed, meaning that the B’S get the Bolts…. I’ll take my chances with the Laffs thank you…. I don't care who they play, but I do like the idea of the Laffs v Panthers.
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Post by 50belowzero on Mar 17, 2024 17:02:14 GMT
The B's back in 1st in the Atlantic, with that nail biter win they leapfrog the Panthers by 1 point. The Panthers lost to the Lightning after getting Vagisilskyed, out shoot the Bolts 50-16 but lose 5-3, nice. If Vag is rounding into form look out. Another scenario that’s got an even chance of playing out is the Rangers finishing first in the East and most probably getting either the Isles, Wings, or Flyers as the eighth seed, meaning that the B’S get the Bolts…. I’ll take my chances with the Laffs thank you…. I guess we'll see where the B's end up and go from there but i'm with Book, Panthers vs TO is good.
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Post by thanx4memORRies on Mar 17, 2024 18:00:36 GMT
Another scenario that’s got an even chance of playing out is the Rangers finishing first in the East and most probably getting either the Isles, Wings, or Flyers as the eighth seed, meaning that the B’S get the Bolts…. I’ll take my chances with the Laffs thank you…. I guess we'll see where the B's end up and go from there but i'm with Book, Panthers vs TO is good. Cakewalk for the Cheshire Cats….
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Post by bookboy007 on Mar 17, 2024 19:50:58 GMT
I guess we'll see where the B's end up and go from there but i'm with Book, Panthers vs TO is good. Cakewalk for the Cheshire Cats…. We'll see. Paul Maurice teams historically go deep or flame out early.
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Post by sandogbrewin on Mar 17, 2024 20:01:40 GMT
The B's back in 1st in the Atlantic, with that nail biter win they leapfrog the Panthers by 1 point. The Panthers lost to the Lightning after getting Vagisilskyed, out shoot the Bolts 50-16 but lose 5-3, nice. If Vag is rounding into form look out. Bob was 11/15 for .733 Still think Bob is coming back down to earth.
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Post by thanx4memORRies on Mar 17, 2024 20:23:33 GMT
Cakewalk for the Cheshire Cats…. We'll see. Paul Maurice teams historically go deep or flame out early. Certainly won’t flame out against the Laffs….
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Post by 50belowzero on Mar 18, 2024 1:08:49 GMT
Still think Bob is coming back down to earth. Yeah, i'm not sold on Bob either, his track record has been like a rollercoaster and that could continue. He did go on a run last playoffs but he wasn't the 1st game starter, it was Lyon. The B's even lit him up they just couldn't hold leads, it wasn't that Bob was a stone wall, the opposite actually.
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Post by RichHillOntario on Mar 18, 2024 1:45:52 GMT
Another scenario that’s got an even chance of playing out is the Rangers finishing first in the East and most probably getting either the Isles, Wings, or Flyers as the eighth seed, meaning that the B’S get the Bolts…. I’ll take my chances with the Laffs thank you…. I don't care who they play, but I do like the idea of the Laffs v Panthers. Let Marble Loaf fans chant about that.
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Post by 50belowzero on Mar 18, 2024 13:42:36 GMT
With a win tonight over the Flamers the Capitals will take over the last WC spot. Who had that in their preseason betting cards, i know i sure didn't.
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Post by sandogbrewin on Mar 18, 2024 14:50:17 GMT
With a win tonight over the Flamers the Capitals will take over the last WC spot. Who had that in their preseason betting cards, i know i sure didn't. Nope, sure didn't. Caps starting to come together a bit.
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Post by brewwins on Mar 18, 2024 16:42:23 GMT
Big 6 game road trip for the Bruins and 2 games against Florida that could go a long way towards determining who the winner of the Presidents trophy is.
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Post by thanx4memORRies on Mar 18, 2024 17:26:29 GMT
Big 6 game road trip for the Bruins and 2 games against Florida that could go a long way towards determining who the winner of the Presidents trophy is. Cheshire Cats or Rangers can have that meaningless piece of hardware….
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Post by pletchner on Mar 18, 2024 18:42:22 GMT
Big 6 game road trip for the Bruins and 2 games against Florida that could go a long way towards determining who the winner of the Presidents trophy is. Cheshire Cats or Rangers can have that meaningless piece of hardware…. Please.
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